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Sometimes, the line can change quite drastically in just a few minutes. For example, if the Chiefs defense looks dominant early against the Packers in the aforementioned Week 9 game, the total might move from 54 to 49.5 after just a couple of empty possessions. Continue reading
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This usually happens when the probability offered by your bookmaker is the same as yours. On such occasions, the note of warning is to avoid betting. The logic here is that Kelly Criterion posits that your stake should be larger and bigger for sports bets in there is a reasonable degree of significant edge. Conversely, it implies that for a sports bet that you don’t think you actually have a significant edge on, then it only makes sense that your stake be lower. Continue reading
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